Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Zachary Svajda		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.45
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.55	2.39
	1.56	2.4
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.4)	2.38 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
60.8%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zachary Svajda's form might have worsened.

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aleksandar Kovacevic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zachary Svajda - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 81., and Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 80..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Svajda could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Svajda is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Svajda has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Zachary Svajda - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.63%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Gea	1:3 ✺
02.09.26	Zachary Svajda - Daniel Altmaier	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLL?
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Valentin Vacherot - Aleksandar Kovacevic	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
27.08.26	Arthur Fery - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zachary Svajda	0:2
ATP Los Cabos
18.02.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zachary Svajda	2:0
ATP Challenger
02.08.22	Zachary Svajda - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2

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