Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Zachary Svajda		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.28	1.72
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.03	1.78	Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.35	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.38)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
42.4%

Denis Shapovalov
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Svajda will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 76. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 68.

Recent performances by Svajda have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shapovalov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Svajda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Shapovalov will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Washington
27.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Zachary Svajda - Cruz Hewitt	Svajda Z. Retired ✺
25.07.26	Zachary Svajda - Stefan Kozlov	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Alex De Minaur - Zachary Svajda	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Zachary Svajda - Kamil Majchrzak	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 L?WLW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos
01.08.26	Arthur Gea - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Denis Shapovalov - Rinky Hijikata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide