Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WASHINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday


	Zachary Svajda		Max Purcell

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.8
	2.01	1.8
	2.01	1.88
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.35)	1.8 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
47%

Max Purcell
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zachary Svajda's performance.

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Purcell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zachary Svajda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Purcell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Zachary Svajda - Max Purcell Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Svajda will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Purcell will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svajda: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Svajda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Purcell has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Svajda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Washington
30.07.23	Brandon Holt - Zachary Svajda	Holt B. retired ✺
29.07.23	Ryan Harrison - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.23	Zachary Svajda - Marc Polmans	1:2 ✺
26.06.23	Zachary Svajda - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WLWL
- Max Purcell
ATP Atlanta
25.07.23	Brandon Nakashima - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
18.07.23	Max Purcell - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Andrey Rublev - Max Purcell	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.23	Feliciano Lopez - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.23	Radu Albot - Max Purcell	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?

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