Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TRIESTE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday


	Zdenek Kolar		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.15	1.68
	2.29	1.65
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.34	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.9)	1.63 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
42.4%

Stefano Napolitano
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zdenek Kolar's form might have worsened.

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Zdenek Kolar - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: Zdenek Kolar will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kolar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napolitano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kolar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Napolitano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Napolitano to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kolar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
18.07.23	Zdenek Kolar - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Jakub Mensik - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Andrey Chepelev - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Zdenek Kolar - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
18.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
17.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Niccolo Ciavarella	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
07.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.03.21	Stefano Napolitano - Zdenek Kolar	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.18	Zdenek Kolar - Stefano Napolitano	2:0

Zdenek Kolar - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide