Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Stefano Napolitano		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.30	Watch
	1.63	2.44
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.61	2.35
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	2.3 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
59.2%

Gonzalo Villanueva
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Villanueva will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 240. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 352.

Napolitano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Villanueva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Villanueva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Napolitano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Napolitano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Napolitano - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.56%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Felix Balshaw	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Stefano Napolitano - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
15.06.26	Franco Agamenone - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWL?W
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Giammarco Gandolfi	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Kasra Rahmani	Rahmani K. Retired ✺
07.07.26	Maxim Mrva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.07.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Stefano Napolitano	1:2
17.07.23	Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1

Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide