Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nottingham 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Zhizhen Zhang		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.50	1.48
	2.40	1.54
	2.63	1.57
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.6)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
38.3%

Otto Virtanen
61.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhizhen Zhang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otto Virtanen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 189. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 160.

Zhang is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Virtanen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zhang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Virtanen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zhang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.36%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Jaime Faria - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Mark Ceban	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Billy Harris - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Otto Virtanen - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.26	Otto Virtanen - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen	0:2
27.01.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen	1:2
02.11.22	Otto Virtanen - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0

Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen