Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.06	1.73
	2.31	1.69
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.60	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.82)	1.64 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
42.9%

Roman Safiullin
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Zhizhen Zhang - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhang (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 189. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 131.

Zhang is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Safiullin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zhang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Zhizhen Zhang - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Roman Safiullin - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Jaime Faria - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Mark Ceban	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Roman Safiullin - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Roman Safiullin - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Zhizhen Zhang - Roman Safiullin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide