Match Info

Nacionala Liga - Winners stage

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Aizpute		Līgatne

	1	2
	3.15	1.28
	3.08	1.31	Watch
	2.46	1.36
	2.54	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.54)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aizpute
32.5%

Līgatne
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aizpute has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Līgatne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aizpute than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aizpute, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Līgatne than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Līgatne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aizpute - Līgatne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Aizpute has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Līgatne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aizpute may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Līgatne will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aizpute won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aizpute won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Aizpute	1	0	1	0:3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aizpute Volleyball
Latvian Nacionala Liga Volleyball
31.01.26	Aizpute - Augšdaugava	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Līgatne - Aizpute	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Aizpute - Alytaus Ultra	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	RSU - Aizpute	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	Jelgava - Aizpute	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- VK Līgatne
Latvian Nacionala Liga Volleyball
31.01.26	Amber Volley - Līgatne	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Līgatne - RSU	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Līgatne - Aizpute	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Līgatne - Amber Volley	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	RSU - Līgatne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Nacionala Liga Volleyball
18.01.26	Līgatne - Aizpute	3:0
01.03.25	Aizpute - Līgatne	2:3
09.02.25	Līgatne - Aizpute	1:3

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