Match Info
Challenge Cup - 1/16-finalsDate: 6 January 2026, Tuesday
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Benfica |
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Arcada Galati |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 180.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Benfica 63% | Arcada Galati 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.Arcada Galati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arcada Galati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arcada Galati than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arcada Galati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Benfica - Arcada Galati Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.Benfica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Arcada Galati is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).Arcada Galati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benfica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;