The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benfica 57.1%
Sporting Alexandria 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Sporting Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Alexandria than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Alexandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benfica - Sporting Alexandria Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Benfica leads series 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.
Benfica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sporting Alexandria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 36:47. (average 1.8:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 2.2:2.1).
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