Match Info

Campeonato Nacional - Play Offs - Final

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Benfica		Sporting Lisbon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.85
	2.01	1.81
	1.84	1.84
	1.83	1.84
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.8)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benfica
49.6%

Sporting Lisbon
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Preview

Sporting CP leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 1.

Benfica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 32:47. (average 1.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Volleyball
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
25.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Leixões - Benfica	0:3 ✺
15.04.26	Benfica - Leixões	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Leixões - Benfica	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Benfica - Leixões	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLW
- Sporting Lisbon Volleyball
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
25.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gondomar - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
25.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	3:0
Portuguese Cup Volleyball
15.03.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	3:2
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
10.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	3:1
02.11.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
07.05.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3
03.05.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	3:0
30.04.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3

Benfica - Sporting Lisbon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide