Match Info

Nations League

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Stozice (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Brazil		Italy

	1	2
	1.62	2.20
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.48	2.68
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.47	2.65
	1.63	2.40	Watch
	1.54	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)	2.41 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brazil
60.9%

Italy
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brazil than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brazil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Italy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Brazil - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: Italy will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


6. Adriano	12. Bottolo M.
19. Arthur	23. Bovolenta A.
17. Bryan	13. Cortesia L.
14. Cachopa	14. Galassi G.
1. Darlan Souza	4. Laurenzano G.
12. Douglas	15. Lavia D. (C)
23. Flavio	30. Mosca L.
8. Honorato	28. Pace D.
11. Judson	17. Porro L.
18. Lucarelli (C)	2. Porro P.
15. Maique	11. Rychlicki K.
5. Matheus Goncalves	18. Sanguinetti G.
7. Pinta	9. Sani F.
16. Pureza	8. Sbertoli R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 2.

Brazil is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Italy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 49:32. (average 2.5:1.6).

Outrights of Nations League Volleyball for now

Italy: 9.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
24.06.26	Ukraine - Brazil	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Brazil - Argentina	3:2 ✺
13.06.26	Brazil - Serbia	3:0 ✺
11.06.26	Brazil - Belgium	3:1 ✺
10.06.26	Brazil - Iran	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW
- Italy volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
25.06.26	Ukraine - Italy	3:0 ✺
24.06.26	Bulgaria - Italy	3:2 ✺
14.06.26	USA - Italy	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Turkey - Italy	0:3 ✺
11.06.26	Germany - Italy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball
28.06.25	Brazil - Italy	3:2
Olympic Games - Volleyball
27.07.24	Italy - Brazil	3:1
Nations League Volleyball
26.05.24	Brazil - Italy	2:3
Olympic Games - Volleyball
08.10.23	Brazil - Italy	3:2
Nations League Volleyball
04.07.23	Brazil - Italy	1:3
21.06.21	Brazil - Italy	3:1
FIVB World Cup
15.10.19	Italy - Brazil	0:3

Brazil - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide