Match Info

Nations League

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Stozice (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Bulgaria		Italy

	1	2
	3.4	1.3
	3.35	1.25	Watch
	3.16	1.37
	3.6	1.27	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.95	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bulgaria
27.4%

Italy
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bulgaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bulgaria than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Bulgaria - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bulgaria will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Italy will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups


18. Antov V.	12. Bottolo M.
8. Asparuhov A.	23. Bovolenta A.
4. Atanasov M.	13. Cortesia L.
19. Bardarov D.	14. Galassi G.
11. Grozdanov A. (C)	4. Laurenzano G.
22. Kolev D.	15. Lavia D. (C)
5. Nachev B.	30. Mosca L.
23. Nikolov A.	28. Pace D.
1. Nikolov S.	17. Porro L.
20. Palev S.	2. Porro P.
3. Petkov I.	11. Rychlicki K.
7. Petkov P.	18. Sanguinetti G.
12. Tatarov G.	9. Sani F.
15. Zhelev R.	8. Sbertoli R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bulgaria won 0.

In recent matches, Bulgaria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Italy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Italy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bulgaria won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:40. (average 1.2:2.5).

Outrights of Nations League Volleyball for now

Italy: 9.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bulgaria volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
14.06.26	Bulgaria - Serbia	0:3 ✺
13.06.26	Bulgaria - Argentina	3:1 ✺
11.06.26	Bulgaria - Iran	3:0 ✺
10.06.26	Belgium - Bulgaria	3:1 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
24.05.26	Bulgaria - Sweden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Italy volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
14.06.26	USA - Italy	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Turkey - Italy	0:3 ✺
11.06.26	Germany - Italy	1:3 ✺
10.06.26	France - Italy	3:2 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
30.05.26	Italy - Belgium	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Volleyball
28.09.25	Bulgaria - Italy	1:3
Nations League Volleyball
11.06.25	Bulgaria - Italy	1:3
20.06.24	Bulgaria - Italy	0:3
05.07.22	Bulgaria - Italy	0:3
European Championships Volleyball
06.09.21	Bulgaria - Italy	1:3
Nations League Volleyball
03.06.21	Italy - Bulgaria	3:2
European Championships Volleyball
17.09.19	Italy - Bulgaria	3:1

Bulgaria - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide