The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Busto Arsizio 48.1%
AltaFratte 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Busto Arsizio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
AltaFratte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busto Arsizio than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Busto Arsizio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AltaFratte than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AltaFratte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Busto Arsizio - AltaFratte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3
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Preview
Padova leads series 1-0. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busto Arsizio won 1.
Busto Arsizio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
AltaFratte is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
AltaFratte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, AltaFratte has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Busto Arsizio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Busto Arsizio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
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