Match Info

Nations League Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: East Asian Games Dome (Macao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	China W		Turkey W

	1	2
	3.50	1.29
	2.85	1.35
	3.18	1.36
	2.77	1.42	Watch
	3.15	1.35
	2.80	1.39	Watch
	2.90	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.21)	1.36 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China W
31.1%

Turkey W
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that China W's form might have worsened.

Turkey W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turkey W's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for China W than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for China W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turkey W than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Turkey W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

China W - Turkey W Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Turkey will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Turkey: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. China (votes: 1 - 50%). Turkey (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups


8. Chen Houyu	22. Aydin I.
5. Diao Linyu	7. Baladin H.
13. Dong Yuhan	91. Basyolcu D.
17. Feifan Ni	20. Erkek Y.
6. Gong Xiangyu (C)	18. Gunes Z.
16. Guo Z.	8. Jack S.
11. Li C.	1. Orge G. (C)
3. Tang Xin	3. Ozbay C.
9. Wang Aoqian	16. Ozden B.
18. Wang Mengjie	12. Sahin E.
7. Wang Yuanyuan	6. Sahin S.
14. Xie Shengyu	15. Uyanik D.
10. Yang Shuming	4. Vargas M.
2. Zhuang Yushan	10. Yatgin E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 1.

In recent matches, China has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Turkey is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Turkey is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, China won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 39:42. (average 2:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
23.07.26	USA W - China W	2:3 ✺
12.07.26	China W - Italy W	2:3 ✺
11.07.26	China W - Dominican Republic W	1:3 ✺
09.07.26	China W - Ukraine W	3:0 ✺
08.07.26	China W - Canada W	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Turkey W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
23.07.26	Turkey W - Canada W	3:1 ✺
12.07.26	Thailand W - Turkey W	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Japan W - Turkey W	1:3 ✺
10.07.26	USA W - Turkey W	3:2 ✺
07.07.26	Turkey W - Poland W	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
21.06.26	Turkey W - China W	3:2
08.06.25	China W - Turkey W	2:3
Olympic Games - Volleyball Women
06.08.24	China W - Turkey W	2:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
15.06.24	China W - Turkey W	3:2
16.07.23	China W - Turkey W	1:3
03.06.22	Turkey W - China W	1:3
Olympic Games - Volleyball Women
25.07.21	China W - Turkey W	0:3

China W - Turkey W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide