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Current Win Probability
Esil Petropavlovsk 27.2%
Atyrau 72.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
65.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
64.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esil Petropavlovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esil Petropavlovsk's form might have worsened.
Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atyrau's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esil Petropavlovsk than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esil Petropavlovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atyrau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esil won 3.
Recent form of Esil has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atyrau is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
Atyrau might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esil won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:42. (average 1.5:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Esil won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.6:1.9).
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