The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gazprom Ugra 52.9%
Fakel Novyi Urengoy 47.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.7%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gazprom Ugra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Fakel Novyi Urengoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gazprom Ugra than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Novyi Urengoy than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Gazprom Ugra - Fakel Novyi Urengoy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gazprom Ugra won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Fakel may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gazprom Ugra has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:51 (averaging 1.1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gazprom Ugra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 11:21 goals (averaging 1.4:2.6 per game).