The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gorky Nizhny Novgorod 40.7%
Fakel Novyi Urengoy 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorky Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Fakel Novyi Urengoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorky Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gorky Nizhny Novgorod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Novyi Urengoy than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fakel Novyi Urengoy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.