Match Info

Ligue B - Round 13

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: La Ruche Arena (Saint-Jean-d'Illac)


	Illacaise		Fréjus

	1	2
	1.85	1.78	Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.82	1.81	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.08)	1.83 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illacaise
50.1%

Fréjus
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illacaise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illacaise's performance.

Fréjus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fréjus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illacaise than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illacaise that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fréjus than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fréjus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Illacaise - Fréjus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illacaise won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fréjus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Illacaise won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:36. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Illacaise won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.5:1.8).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Illacaise	30	22	8	72:43	63
7	Frejus	30	17	13	60:50	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASS SP Illacaise
French Ligue B Volleyball
30.12.25	Cambrai - Illacaise	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Martigues - Illacaise	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Illacaise - Reims	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Nancy - Illacaise	3:1 ✺
02.12.25	Illacaise - REC Volley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- AMSL Fréjus Volleyball
French Ligue B Volleyball
30.12.25	Fréjus - Nancy	3:1 ✺
19.12.25	France Avenir 2024 - Fréjus	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Fréjus - Chalon sur Saone	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Royan Atlantique - Fréjus	3:1 ✺
02.12.25	Fréjus - Martigues	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue B Volleyball
25.10.25	Fréjus - Illacaise	3:0
02.05.25	Illacaise - Fréjus	2:3
25.04.25	Fréjus - Illacaise	3:0
25.01.25	Illacaise - Fréjus	2:3
19.10.24	Fréjus - Illacaise	3:0
28.01.23	Illacaise - Fréjus	3:1
15.10.22	Fréjus - Illacaise	3:1

Illacaise - Fréjus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide