Match Info

European Championships

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: PalaPanini (Modena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 8
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Italy		Slovenia

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.22	3.6
	1.27	3.87
	1.27	3.63
	1.24	3.75
	1.31	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)	3.64 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
74.2%

Slovenia
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Italy - Slovenia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Italy will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


7. Balaso F.	8. Bracko R.
12. Bottolo M.	13. Kovacic J.
14. Galassi G.	4. Kozamernik J.
6. Giannelli S.	22. Krzic J.
4. Laurenzano G.	7. Marovt L.
15. Lavia D.	19. Mozic R.
20. Mati P.	20. Mujanovic N.
5. Michieletto A.	24. Najdic N.
17. Porro L.	12. Okroglic G.
16. Romano Y.	2. Pajenk A.
11. Rychlicki K.	3. Planinsic U.
18. Sanguinetti G.	25. Sen K.
9. Sani F.	10. Stalekar S.
8. Sbertoli R.	17. Urnaut T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3.

Italy is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Slovenia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Slovenia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Italy is considered a favorite.

We predict that Italy will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Italy won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 2.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy volleyball
European Championships Volleyball
15.09.26	Czech Republic - Italy	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Italy - Slovakia	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Greece - Italy	0:3 ✺
10.09.26	Italy - Sweden	3:0 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
30.08.26	Italy - Brazil	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Slovenia volleyball
European Championships Volleyball
16.09.26	Czech Republic - Slovenia	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Slovenia - Greece	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Slovenia - Sweden	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	Slovakia - Slovenia	0:3 ✺
Hubert Wagner Memorial
30.08.26	Slovenia - USA	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
28.06.26	Slovenia - Italy	1:3
Nations League Volleyball
02.08.25	Italy - Slovenia	3:1
19.07.25	Slovenia - Italy	0:3
22.06.24	Slovenia - Italy	3:0
Hubert Wagner Memorial
19.08.23	Slovenia - Italy	3:2
Nations League Volleyball
07.07.23	Slovenia - Italy	0:3
World Championship Volleyball
10.09.22	Italy - Slovenia	3:0

Italy - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide