Match Info

Nations League Women

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 2


	Japan W		Italy W

	1	2
	2.38	1.53
	2.18	1.60	Watch
	2.30	1.63
	2.46	1.52	Watch
	2.30	1.57
	2.41	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.1)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan W
40%

Italy W
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy W than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Japan W - Italy W Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Japan W will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups


26. Akimoto M.	15. Adigwe M.
12. Fukudome S.	24. Antropova E.
23. Inoue M.	3. Cambi C. (C)
4. Ishikawa M. (C)	19. Fahr S.
22. Kitamado A.	7. Fersino E.
19. Nishizaki M.	22. Giovannini G.
7. Sakae E.	25. Manfredini L.
5. Sato Y.	2. Meli D.
6. Seki N.	10. Moro I.
16. Shigihara H.	16. Nervini S.
3. Shimamura H.	14. Nwakalor L.
1. Wada Y.	31. Obossa J.
11. Yamada N.	21. Omoruyi O.
13. Yamaguchi M.	29. Scola F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1.

Japan is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Italy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Japan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 36:45. (average 1.9:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
20.06.26	Japan W - Dominican Republic W	1:3 ✺
19.06.26	Japan W - Czech Republic W	3:0 ✺
17.06.26	Japan W - Serbia W	3:2 ✺
07.06.26	Canada W - Japan W	2:3 ✺
06.06.26	Germany W - Japan W	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW
- Italy W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
20.06.26	USA W - Italy W	3:0 ✺
18.06.26	Serbia W - Italy W	2:3 ✺
17.06.26	Czech Republic W - Italy W	0:3 ✺
07.06.26	Brazil W - Italy W	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Italy W - Turkey W	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
20.06.25	Japan W - Italy W	2:3
23.06.24	Japan W - Italy W	1:3
02.07.23	Italy W - Japan W	3:1
World Championship Volleyball Women
05.10.22	Italy W - Japan W	3:1
Nations League Volleyball Women
01.06.21	Italy W - Japan W	2:3
05.06.19	Italy W - Japan W	3:0
Montreux Masters Women
17.05.19	Italy W - Japan W	0:3

Japan W - Italy W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide