Match Info

PlusLiga - Round 12

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2


	Jastrzębski Węgiel		Trefl Gdańsk

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.48	2.4
	1.56	2.45
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.46
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	2.51 (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jastrzębski Węgiel
62.9%

Trefl Gdańsk
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jastrzębski Węgiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Trefl Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jastrzębski Węgiel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jastrzębski won 4.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Gdańsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jastrzębski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jastrzębski won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 57:16. (average 2.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jastrzębski won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:8. (average 2.8:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Jastrzębski Węgiel - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.22%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jastrzębski Węgiel
Polish PlusLiga
13.12.25	Kazhany Lviv - Jastrzębski Węgiel	0:3 ✺
CEV Cup
10.12.25	MÁV Előre SC - Jastrzębski Węgiel	1:3 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
06.12.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - ASSECO Resovia Rzeszów	3:0 ✺
01.12.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
25.11.25	Skra Bełchatów - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL
- Trefl Gdańsk
Polish PlusLiga
11.12.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Skra Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Chełm - Trefl Gdańsk	0:3 ✺
03.12.25	Politechnika Lublin - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Warta Zawiercie	3:2 ✺
24.11.25	Trefl Gdańsk - ZAKSA Kędzierzyn-Koźle	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish PlusLiga
02.02.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Jastrzębski Węgiel	1:3
23.10.24	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1
09.03.24	Trefl Gdańsk - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:2
Polish Cup Volleyball
14.02.24	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
Polish PlusLiga
05.12.23	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
12.04.23	Trefl Gdańsk - Jastrzębski Węgiel	1:3
09.04.23	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0

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