The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 32.7%
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 67.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Legia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Legia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Legia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Legia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.