Match Info

Championship Women - Round 11

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Lileya Novopolotsk		Atlant Baranovichi

	1	X	2
	1.76		1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.47)		1.9 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lileya Novopolotsk
51.9%

Atlant Baranovichi
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lileya Novopolotsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lileya Novopolotsk's performance.

Atlant Baranovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlant Baranovichi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lileya Novopolotsk than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lileya Novopolotsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlant Baranovichi than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlant Baranovichi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lileya Novopolotsk - Atlant Baranovichi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Lileya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlant Baranovichi has had a series of home games.

Atlant Baranovichi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lileya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Lileya W	2	2	0	6:1	6
6	A. Baranovichi W	1	0	1	0:3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lileya Novopolotsk
Belarusian Championship Volleyball Women
27.12.25	Iskra Zhlobin - Lileya Novopolotsk	3:0
13.12.25	Lileya Novopolotsk - Pribuzhe Brest	0:3
06.12.25	Lileya Novopolotsk - Kommunalnik Grodno	0:3
29.11.25	Kommunalnik Mogilev - Lileya Novopolotsk	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Lileya Novopolotsk - Minchanka 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLW
- Atlant Baranovichi
Belarusian Championship Volleyball Women
10.01.26	Atlant Baranovichi - Kommunalnik Grodno	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Zhemchuzhina Polesie - Atlant Baranovichi	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Atlant Baranovichi - Kommunalnik Mogilev	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Atlant Baranovichi - Iskra Zhlobin	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Atlant Baranovichi - Minchanka 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Championship Volleyball Women
15.11.25	Atlant Baranovichi - Lileya Novopolotsk	3:2
04.05.25	Atlant Baranovichi - Lileya Novopolotsk	0:3
03.05.25	Atlant Baranovichi - Lileya Novopolotsk	2:3

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