Match Info

PlusLiga - Round 22

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Hala Sportowa Częstochowa (Częstochowa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2


	Norwid Częstochowa		Jastrzębski Węgiel

	1	2
	2.38	1.53
	2.35	1.48
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.32	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)	1.52 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 187.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwid Częstochowa
39.3%

Jastrzębski Węgiel
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwid Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norwid Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Jastrzębski Węgiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jastrzębski Węgiel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwid Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jastrzębski Węgiel than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwid Częstochowa won 1.

Recent form of Norwid Częstochowa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jastrzębski's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jastrzębski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norwid Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.1:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwid Częstochowa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwid Częstochowa
CEV Challenge Cup
18.02.26	Volley Milano - Norwid Częstochowa	2:3 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
13.02.26	Cuprum Gorzów - Norwid Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
CEV Challenge Cup
10.02.26	Norwid Częstochowa - Volley Milano	0:3 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
04.02.26	Norwid Częstochowa - Warta Zawiercie	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	AZS Olsztyn - Norwid Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL
- Jastrzębski Węgiel
CEV Cup
18.02.26	Pallavolo Piacenza - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:1 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
13.02.26	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Skra Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
CEV Cup
10.02.26	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Pallavolo Piacenza	1:3 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
05.02.26	Chełm - Jastrzębski Węgiel	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Warta Zawiercie	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish PlusLiga
01.12.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa	3:2
01.04.25	Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel	2:3
28.03.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa	3:0
12.01.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa	3:1
05.10.24	Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:2
23.01.24	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Norwid Częstochowa	3:0
28.10.23	Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel	0:3

Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide