Match Info

European Championships

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena 8888 Sofia (Sofia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Polsat, Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Slovakia	JOJ Play
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Poland		Bulgaria

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.35
	1.35	3.24
	1.29	3.49
	1.32	3.15
	1.32	3.46	Watch
	1.32	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	3.35 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
71.9%

Bulgaria
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland's performance.

Bulgaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bulgaria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poland than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bulgaria than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bulgaria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Poland - Bulgaria Predictions

Users Predictions: Poland will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


30. Boladz B.	18. Antov V.
96. Firlej J.	8. Asparuhov A.
21. Fornal T.	4. Atanasov M.
18. Granieczny M.	19. Bardarov D.
34. Jakubiszak S.	11. Grozdanov A.
4. Komenda M.	22. Kolev D.
7. Lemanski B.	23. Nikolov A.
9. Leon W.	1. Nikolov S.
73. Nowak J.	20. Palev S.
3. Popiwczak J.	3. Petkov I.
35. Sasak K.	7. Petkov P.
16. Semeniuk K.	12. Tatarov G.
11. Sliwka A.	6. Velichkov Z.
12. Szalpuk A.	15. Zhelev R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 4.

Poland has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bulgaria is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bulgaria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Poland is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Poland will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Poland won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:30. (average 2.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland volleyball
European Championships Volleyball
15.09.26	Poland - Ukraine	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	North Macedonia - Poland	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Poland - Israel	3:0 ✺
10.09.26	Poland - Portugal	3:0 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
05.09.26	Poland - Finland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW
- Bulgaria volleyball
European Championships Volleyball
14.09.26	Bulgaria - Israel	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bulgaria - Ukraine	1:3 ✺
11.09.26	Portugal - Bulgaria	0:3 ✺
09.09.26	Bulgaria - North Macedonia	3:0 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
25.08.26	Bulgaria - Czech Republic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
15.07.26	Bulgaria - Poland	0:3
Friendly International Volleyball
23.05.26	Poland - Bulgaria	3:0
Nations League Volleyball
19.07.25	Bulgaria - Poland	3:2
Friendly International Volleyball
30.05.25	Poland - Bulgaria	3:2
Nations League Volleyball
04.06.24	Poland - Bulgaria	3:1
Olympic Games - Volleyball
01.10.23	Poland - Bulgaria	3:0
Nations League Volleyball
09.06.23	Poland - Bulgaria	3:2

Poland - Bulgaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide