Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Mall of Asia Arena (Pasay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	CT sport
France	L'Equipe
Philippines	Pilipinas Live
Poland	Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
World	VBTV


	Poland		Italy

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.52	2.25
	1.59	2.38
	1.27	3.58	Watch
	1.58	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.54)	2.6 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
63.4%

Italy
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poland than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Poland - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Italy will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Poland will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


96. Firlej J.	17. Anzani S.
21. Fornal T.	7. Balaso F.
18. Granieczny M.	12. Bottolo M.
99. Huber N.	14. Galassi G.
34. Jakubiszak S.	25. Gargiulo G.
15. Kochanowski J.	6. Giannelli S. (C)
4. Komenda M.	5. Michieletto A.
6. Kurek B. (C)	28. Pace D.
9. Leon W.	31. Porro L.
73. Nowak J.	16. Romano Y.
3. Popiwczak J.	19. Russo R.
35. Sasak K.	11. Rychlicki K.
16. Semeniuk K.	9. Sani F.
12. Szalpuk A.	8. Sbertoli R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 3.

Poland is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Italy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Poland could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Poland will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Poland won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 50:27. (average 2.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland volleyball
World Championship Volleyball
24.09.25	Poland - Turkey	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Poland - Canada	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	Poland - Netherlands	3:1 ✺
15.09.25	Poland - Qatar	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Poland - Romania	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW
- Italy volleyball
World Championship Volleyball
24.09.25	Italy - Belgium	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	Argentina - Italy	0:3 ✺
18.09.25	Italy - Ukraine	3:0 ✺
16.09.25	Italy - Belgium	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Italy - Algeria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball
03.08.25	Poland - Italy	3:0
25.06.25	Italy - Poland	3:2
Olympic Games - Volleyball
03.08.24	Poland - Italy	1:3
Nations League Volleyball
19.06.24	Italy - Poland	0:3
European Championships Volleyball
16.09.23	Italy - Poland	0:3
Hubert Wagner Memorial
20.08.23	Poland - Italy	1:3
Nations League Volleyball
25.06.23	Italy - Poland	1:3

Poland - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide