Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Shahrdari Urmia		Mehregan Noor

	1	X	2
	1.08		6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.33)		6.7 ↑ (3.02)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shahrdari Urmia
86.1%

Mehregan Noor
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shahrdari Urmia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shahrdari Urmia's performance.

Mehregan Noor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mehregan Noor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahrdari Urmia than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shahrdari Urmia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mehregan Noor than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mehregan Noor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mehregan Noor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shahrdari Urmia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Shahrdari Urmia is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Shahrdari Urmia	18	11	7	36:29	32
8	Mehregan Noor	19	8	11	31:43	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shahrdari Urmia
Iran Super League Volleyball
28.12.25	Shahdab Yazd - Shahrdari Urmia	3:1 ✺
24.12.25	ChadorMalu Ardakan - Shahrdari Urmia	3:1 ✺
17.12.25	Shahrdari Urmia - Tabiat Eslamshahr	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Saipa Tehran - Shahrdari Urmia	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Shahrdari Urmia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Mehregan Noor
Iran Super League Volleyball
31.12.25	Mehregan Noor - Mes Rafsanjan	3:2 ✺
28.12.25	Sepahan - Mehregan Noor	3:1 ✺
24.12.25	Mehregan Noor - PAS Gorgan	3:2 ✺
17.12.25	Sanatgaran Omid - Mehregan Noor	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Mehregan Noor - Paykan Tehran	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Shahrdari Urmia - Mehregan Noor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide