The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Skra Bełchatów 48.5%
Trefl Gdańsk 51.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skra Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skra Bełchatów's form might have worsened.
Trefl Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trefl Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skra Bełchatów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trefl Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 2.
Bełchatów is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gdańsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bełchatów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:37. (average 2.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.4:1.9).