Match Info

Nations League

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Stozice (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	S Sport 2


	Slovenia		Italy

	1	2
	1.73	2.00
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.81	2.01
	1.78	1.99	Watch
	1.80	1.99
	1.77	2.15	Watch
	1.75	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.99)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slovenia
53%

Italy
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slovenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slovenia's performance.

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slovenia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Italy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Slovenia - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups


8. Bracko R.	12. Bottolo M.
13. Kovacic J.	23. Bovolenta A.
4. Kozamernik J.	13. Cortesia L.
22. Krzic J.	14. Galassi G.
19. Mozic R.	4. Laurenzano G.
20. Mujanovic N.	15. Lavia D. (C)
24. Najdic N.	30. Mosca L.
12. Okroglic G.	28. Pace D.
2. Pajenk A.	17. Porro L.
3. Planinsic U.	2. Porro P.
25. Sen K.	11. Rychlicki K.
10. Stalekar S.	18. Sanguinetti G.
1. Stern T.	9. Sani F.
17. Urnaut T. (C)	8. Sbertoli R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 2.

Slovenia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Italy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Slovenia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Slovenia volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
27.06.26	Slovenia - Brazil	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Slovenia - Bulgaria	3:2 ✺
24.06.26	Slovenia - Canada	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Slovenia - Japan	1:3 ✺
13.06.26	Cuba - Slovenia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW
- Italy volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
26.06.26	Brazil - Italy	1:3 ✺
25.06.26	Ukraine - Italy	3:0 ✺
24.06.26	Bulgaria - Italy	3:2 ✺
14.06.26	USA - Italy	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Turkey - Italy	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball
02.08.25	Italy - Slovenia	3:1
19.07.25	Slovenia - Italy	0:3
22.06.24	Slovenia - Italy	3:0
Hubert Wagner Memorial
19.08.23	Slovenia - Italy	3:2
Nations League Volleyball
07.07.23	Slovenia - Italy	0:3
World Championship Volleyball
10.09.22	Italy - Slovenia	3:0
Nations League Volleyball
25.06.22	Italy - Slovenia	3:0

Slovenia - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide