The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trnje Zagreb 31.6%
Split 68.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
62.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
60.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trnje Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trnje Zagreb's form might have worsened.
Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Split's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trnje Zagreb than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trnje Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Split than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Split, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Trnje won 2.
Trnje is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Split is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Split could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Split will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Trnje won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Trnje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.