Match Info

Serie A1 Women - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Vallefoglia		Busto Arsizio

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.55
	1.42	2.78	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.41	2.72	Watch
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	2.7 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vallefoglia
65.6%

Busto Arsizio
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vallefoglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Busto Arsizio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vallefoglia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busto Arsizio than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Vallefoglia - Busto Arsizio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vallefoglia won 2.

Vallefoglia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Busto Arsizio is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vallefoglia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vallefoglia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vallefoglia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Volleyball Women for now

UYBA Busto Arsizio W: 1.55% Vallefoglia W: 0.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Vallefoglia W	1	1	0	3:1	3
8	UYBA Busto Arsizio W	1	0	1	2:3	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volley Vallefoglia
Italian Coppa A1 Volleyball Women
30.12.25	Scandicci - Vallefoglia	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
26.12.25	Consolini - Vallefoglia	0:3 ✺
23.12.25	Vallefoglia - Milano	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Azzurra Volley San Casciano - Vallefoglia	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Vallefoglia - Perugia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWWW
- UYBA Busto Arsizio
Italian Coppa A1 Volleyball Women
30.12.25	Fenera Chieri - Busto Arsizio	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
26.12.25	Busto Arsizio - Fenera Chieri	1:3 ✺
23.12.25	Foppapedretti Bergamo - Busto Arsizio	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Busto Arsizio - Novara	2:3 ✺
07.12.25	Busto Arsizio - Consolini	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
26.10.25	Busto Arsizio - Vallefoglia	3:0
05.01.25	Busto Arsizio - Vallefoglia	3:1
20.10.24	Vallefoglia - Busto Arsizio	3:0
03.02.24	Vallefoglia - Busto Arsizio	3:0
05.11.23	Busto Arsizio - Vallefoglia	3:0
12.02.23	Busto Arsizio - Vallefoglia	3:0
06.11.22	Vallefoglia - Busto Arsizio	3:0

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