Match Info

Nacionala Liga

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Ventspils		Jelgava

	1	2
	1.42	2.5
	1.42	2.61	Watch
	1.42	2.57
	1.41	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	2.57 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventspils
64.5%

Jelgava
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventspils than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ventspils - Jelgava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 4.

Ventspils has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jelgava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jelgava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ventspils has had a series of away games.

Ventspils will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ventspils won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VC Ventspils
Latvian Nacionala Liga Volleyball
06.12.25	Aizpute - Ventspils	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	RSU - Ventspils	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Amber Volley - Ventspils	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ventspils - Vecumnieki	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Jelgava - Ventspils	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLLW
- VK Jelgava
Latvian Nacionala Liga Volleyball
06.12.25	Jelgava - Amber Volley	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Vecumnieki - Jelgava	2:3 ✺
20.11.25	RSU - Jelgava	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Aizpute - Jelgava	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Jelgava - Ventspils	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Nacionala Liga Volleyball
01.11.25	Jelgava - Ventspils	2:3
05.01.25	Ventspils - Jelgava	3:2
19.10.24	Jelgava - Ventspils	1:3
06.01.24	Jelgava - Ventspils	0:3
28.10.23	Ventspils - Jelgava	0:3
04.02.23	Ventspils - Jelgava	3:0
19.11.22	Jelgava - Ventspils	0:3

Ventspils - Jelgava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide