Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Vitoria Guimarães		Fonte do Bastardo

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.48	2.35
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.43
	1.48	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)	2.39 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
61.5%

Fonte do Bastardo
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Fonte do Bastardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fonte do Bastardo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Vitoria Guimarães - Fonte do Bastardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 2.

Recent matches Guimarães is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fonte do Bastardo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Guimarães have a series of guest games.

Guimarães will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Guimarães won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 28:51 (average 1.5:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Guimarães won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10:23 (average 1.3:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães Volleyball
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
07.12.24	Castêlo da Maia - Vitoria Guimarães	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	2:3 ✺
23.11.24	Gondomar - Vitoria Guimarães	0:3 ✺
16.11.24	Viana - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	SC Espinho - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Fonte do Bastardo Azores
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
07.12.24	Leixões - Fonte do Bastardo	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
23.11.24	Académica de Espinho - Fonte do Bastardo	3:0 ✺
CEV Challenge Cup
19.11.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Melilla	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
16.11.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Madalena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
05.10.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2
27.04.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Vitoria Guimarães	3:1
25.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Fonte do Bastardo	2:3
10.03.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Fonte do Bastardo	3:2
27.01.24	Fonte do Bastardo - Vitoria Guimarães	2:3
25.11.23	Fonte do Bastardo - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3
28.01.23	Fonte do Bastardo - Vitoria Guimarães	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães Volleyball
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
31.10.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Académica de Espinho	✺

Vitoria Guimarães - Fonte do Bastardo