Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Paris La Défense Arena (Nanterre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DR 2, DR TV
Greece	ERT 3
International	Max


	Australia W		USA W

	1	X	2
	4.75	7.5	1.3
	6.5	7.3	1.25	Watch
	4.75	7.5	1.3
	6.73	6.65	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↑ (5.22)	7.24 ↓ (7.35)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 17.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Water polo Women with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network (4K)

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Current Win Probability

Australia W
16.1%

Draw
12.6%

USA W
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.5%

12.4%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

9.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Australia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Australia W than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Australia W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA W than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USA W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Australia W - USA W Predictions

Users Predictions: USA W will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 8:11

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Preview

Australia is Qualified for Olympic Games Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Australia won 1.

Australia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

USA is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

USA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match USA is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Australia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 136-180.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Australia W water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
06.08.24	Australia W - Greece W	9:6 ✺
04.08.24	Hungary W - Australia W	12:14 penalties ✺
02.08.24	Australia W - Canada W	10:7 ✺
31.07.24	Netherlands W - Australia W	14:15 penalties ✺
27.07.24	Australia W - China W	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- USA W water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
06.08.24	Hungary W - USA W	4:5 ✺
02.08.24	USA W - France W	17:5 ✺
31.07.24	Italy W - USA W	3:10 ✺
29.07.24	USA W - Spain W	11:13 ✺
27.07.24	Greece W - USA W	6:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Water Polo Women
12.02.24	USA W - Australia W	10:9
18.07.23	Australia W - USA W	5:9
World League Water Polo Women
13.03.22	Australia W - USA W	11:4
Friendly International Water Polo Women
16.01.20	Australia W - USA W	9:10
14.01.20	Australia W - USA W	9:10
World Championship Water Polo Women
24.07.19	USA W - Australia W	7:2
World League Water Polo Women
31.03.19	Australia W - USA W	12:14

Australia W - USA W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide