Match Info

Euro Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	CN Marseille		Jadran Split

	1	X	2
	1.33	8.72	4.6
	1.35	7	4.3
	1.36	8.3	4.18
	1.33	8.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	8.13 ↓ (8.39)	4.42 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CN Marseille
68.1%

Draw
11.2%

Jadran Split
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.6%

10.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CN Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Jadran Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CN Marseille than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CN Marseille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Split than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jadran Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

CN Marseille - Jadran Split Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. CN Marseille will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:11

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CN Marseille won 5.

CN Marseille is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jadran Split is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

CN Marseille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CN Marseille has had a series of away games.

In this match, CN Marseille is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CN Marseille won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 78:52. (average 13:8.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CN Marseille won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 11.7:8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CN Marseille
Euro Cup Water Polo
09.05.26	CN Marseille - Radnički Kragujevac	16:11 ✺
25.04.26	Radnički Kragujevac - CN Marseille	17:14 ✺
French Elite Championnat Water Polo
18.04.26	Strasbourg - CN Marseille	8:14 ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
28.03.26	Sabadell - CN Marseille	14:14 ✺
French Elite Championnat Water Polo
25.03.26	Olympic Nice - CN Marseille	11:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTW
- VK Jadran Split
Croatian Water Polo Prva Liga
16.05.26	Jadran Split - Solaris Šibenik	17:11 ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
09.05.26	BVSC-Zugló - Jadran Split	12:14 ✺
Croatian Water Polo Prva Liga
30.04.26	Medveščak Zagreb - Jadran Split	9:20
29.04.26	Primorje - Jadran Split	19:20
Euro Cup Water Polo
25.04.26	Jadran Split - BVSC-Zugló	13:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Water Polo
23.04.25	Jadran Split - CN Marseille	6:18
25.02.25	CN Marseille - Jadran Split	11:9
15.05.24	CN Marseille - Jadran Split	17:10
02.04.24	Jadran Split - CN Marseille	12:14
Euro Cup Water Polo
09.12.17	CN Marseille - Jadran Split	7:5
08.11.17	Jadran Split - CN Marseille	10:11

CN Marseille - Jadran Split: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide