Match Info

Asian Games Women - Round 5

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	China W		Japan W

	1	X	2
	2.01	7.61	2.21
	1.75	6.5	2.75
	1.83	7.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.14)	7.24 ↓ (7.71)	2.45 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 28.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

China W
49.6%

Draw
12.8%

Japan W
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

11.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in China W's performance.

Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Japan W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

China W - Japan W Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:15

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 3.

China has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, China has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 153:121 (averaging 12.8:10.1 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	China W	4	4	0	0	99:21	12
2	Japan W	4	4	0	0	104:34	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China W water polo
Asian Games Water Polo Women
23.09.26	China W - Kazakhstan W	19:3
22.09.26	Singapore W - China W	6:27
21.09.26	Thailand W - China W	6:21
20.09.26	China W - Uzbekistan W	32:6
World Cup Water Polo Women
24.07.26	China W - Hungary W	8:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 WWWWL
- Japan W water polo
Asian Games Water Polo Women
23.09.26	Japan W - Singapore W	25:7
22.09.26	Japan W - Uzbekistan W	27:10
21.09.26	Kazakhstan W - Japan W	10:25
20.09.26	Japan W - Thailand W	27:7
World Cup Water Polo Women
06.05.26	Japan W - Greece W	16:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Cup Water Polo Women
19.04.25	Japan W - China W	18:17
17.12.24	Japan W - China W	17:15
Asian Games Water Polo Women
01.10.23	Japan W - China W	11:24
World Championship Water Polo Women
23.07.23	China W - Japan W	18:10
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
28.07.21	China W - Japan W	16:11
World Championship Water Polo Women
14.07.19	Japan W - China W	6:8
World League Water Polo Women
28.03.19	China W - Japan W	8:7

China W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide