Match Info

World Championship Women - 9th-12th places - 9th place

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	China W		New Zealand W

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China W
68.1%

Draw
11.3%

New Zealand W
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

12.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

12.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

China W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

New Zealand W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for China W than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

The ML Model estimate for New Zealand W aligns with the current prediction.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:11

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Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, China is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, China won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 78:46. (average 15.6:9.2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- China W water polo
World Championship Water Polo Women
19.07.25	China W - France W	18:6 ✺
17.07.25	Italy W - China W	13:11 ✺
15.07.25	China W - Netherlands W	7:13 ✺
12.07.25	China W - Argentina W	29:9
11.07.25	USA W - China W	15:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37 WLLWL
- New Zealand W water polo
World Championship Water Polo Women
19.07.25	New Zealand W - Great Britain W	20:12 ✺
17.07.25	New Zealand W - Netherlands W	9:14 ✺
15.07.25	Australia W - New Zealand W	15:6 ✺
13.07.25	New Zealand W - Singapore W	22:7
11.07.25	Italy W - New Zealand W	14:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.1 WLLWL

World Championship Water Polo Women
14.02.24	China W - New Zealand W	15:16
23.07.19	China W - New Zealand W	14:12
World League Water Polo Women
27.03.19	New Zealand W - China W	7:24
World Cup Water Polo Women
08.09.18	New Zealand W - China W	6:15
World League Water Polo Women
05.04.18	China W - New Zealand W	10:5

China W - New Zealand W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide