Match Info

A1 - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Ethnikos		Palaio Faliro

	1	X	2
	1.27	8	5.4
	1.27	8.1	5.41
	1.22	9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	8.37 ↑ (7.5)	5.6 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethnikos
72.8%

Draw
10.9%

Palaio Faliro
16.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.1%

12%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

12.9%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethnikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Palaio Faliro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ethnikos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palaio Faliro than the current prediction. (+4%)

Ethnikos - Palaio Faliro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:11

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos won 2.

In recent matches, Ethnikos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palaio Faliro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ethnikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ethnikos is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ethnikos won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 102:94. (average 9.3:8.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethnikos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 47:44. (average 9.4:8.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Piraeus Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
06.12.25	Panionios - Ethnikos	18:8 ✺
30.11.25	Ethnikos - Chania	15:12 ✺
22.11.25	NO Patras - Ethnikos	14:15 ✺
15.11.25	Ethnikos - Panathinaikos	8:20
08.11.25	Chios - Ethnikos	14:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- AO Palaio Faliro
Greek A1 Water Polo
06.12.25	Palaio Faliro - Chios	15:15 ✺
29.11.25	Vouliagmeni - Palaio Faliro	14:2
22.11.25	Panathinaikos - Palaio Faliro	16:3
15.11.25	Panionios - Palaio Faliro	20:10 ✺
08.11.25	Palaio Faliro - Chania	10:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek A1 Water Polo
25.10.25	Palaio Faliro - Ethnikos	10:14
07.12.24	Ethnikos - Palaio Faliro	13:7
18.10.24	Palaio Faliro - Ethnikos	8:7
11.11.23	Ethnikos - Palaio Faliro	7:7
30.09.23	Palaio Faliro - Ethnikos	10:10
18.12.21	Palaio Faliro - Ethnikos	5:11
16.10.21	Ethnikos - Palaio Faliro	12:11

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Piraeus Water Polo
Greek A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	Glyfada - Ethnikos	✺
- AO Palaio Faliro
Greek A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	PAOK - Palaio Faliro	✺

Ethnikos - Palaio Faliro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide