Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Division 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	France		Montenegro

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France
11%

Draw
8.2%

Montenegro
80.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.8%

9.4%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Montenegro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:16

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 1.

France is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Montenegro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Montenegro is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, France won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 119:174. (average 7.9:11.6).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France water polo
World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	Neutral Athletes B - France	13:14 ✺
10.04.26	France - Portugal	23:9
09.04.26	France - Poland	29:9
08.04.26	France - Canada	15:11 ✺
07.04.26	France - Ukraine	27:13
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Montenegro water polo
World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	Montenegro - Romania	14:8 ✺
10.04.26	Montenegro - Malta	12:21
09.04.26	Montenegro - Great Britain	34:4
08.04.26	Argentina - Montenegro	5:21
07.04.26	Montenegro - Kazakhstan	6:18
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWWL

European Championship Water Polo
14.01.26	France - Montenegro	12:13
04.01.24	Montenegro - France	10:10
Friendly International Water Polo
20.12.23	Montenegro - France	17:11
World League Water Polo
25.07.22	Montenegro - France	9:12
28.04.22	France - Montenegro	10:11
12.03.19	Montenegro - France	10:8
11.12.18	France - Montenegro	9:13

France - Montenegro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide