Match Info

World Championship - 9th-12th places - 9th place

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Japan		Romania

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Japan
71.1%

Draw
9.8%

Romania
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.7%

11.1%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

12%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Romania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Romania than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:14

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Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Japan is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Japan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:12.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan water polo
World Championship Water Polo
20.07.25	Japan - Brazil	22:11 ✺
18.07.25	Serbia - Japan	21:14 ✺
15.07.25	Australia - Japan	11:12 ✺
14.07.25	Japan - Hungary	18:23 ✺
12.07.25	Spain - Japan	22:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLL
- Romania water polo
World Championship Water Polo
20.07.25	Romania - Canada	18:12 ✺
18.07.25	Romania - Hungary	11:15 ✺
16.07.25	Serbia - Romania	19:9 ✺
13.07.25	South Africa - Romania	5:24 ✺
12.07.25	Romania - Italy	5:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

World Cup Water Polo
08.01.25	Romania - Japan	12:16

Japan - Romania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide