Match Info

A1 - Round 9

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Napoli		Florentia

	1	X	2
	1.39	7.6	4.1
	1.4	7.7	4.15
	1.37	8.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	7.93 ↑ (6.78)	4.08 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
66%

Draw
11.5%

Florentia
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

13.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

14.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli's performance.

Florentia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florentia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florentia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Napoli - Florentia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:11

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Preview

Napoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Florentia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Napoli is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 55:39. (average 11:7.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 11.7:6.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Napoli
Italian A1 Water Polo
15.11.25	Quinto - Napoli	11:6 ✺
08.11.25	Napoli - Telimar Palermo	14:10 ✺
31.10.25	Posillipo - Napoli	12:9 ✺
25.10.25	Napoli - De Akker Bologna	12:13 ✺
21.10.25	Napoli - Pro Recco	7:23
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- RN Florentia
Italian A1 Water Polo
15.11.25	Florentia - Pro Recco	12:21
08.11.25	Trieste - Florentia	17:11 ✺
01.11.25	Florentia - Rari Nantes Salerno	12:13 ✺
25.10.25	Brescia - Florentia	21:7
22.10.25	Florentia - Olympic Roma	13:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
07.12.19	Napoli - Florentia	15:10
11.05.19	Napoli - Florentia	12:5
05.01.19	Florentia - Napoli	10:9
10.02.18	Florentia - Napoli	9:11
21.10.17	Napoli - Florentia	8:5

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Napoli
Italian A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	Olympic Roma - Napoli	✺

Napoli - Florentia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide