Match Info

A1 - Round 16

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Napoli		Trieste

	1	X	2
	3.61	7.41	1.49
	2.9	6.8	1.6
	3.98	7.2	1.42
	2.75	8	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.75)	7.35 ↓ (8)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
27.8%

Draw
12.5%

Trieste
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

11.4%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Napoli's form might have worsened.

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Napoli - Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 13:16

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 2.

Napoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trieste is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 77:86. (average 9.6:10.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:25. (average 9.7:8.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Trieste	2	2	0	0	41:32	6
8	Napoli	1	1	0	0	20:14	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Trieste: 2.7% Napoli: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Napoli
Italian A1 Water Polo
14.02.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Napoli	14:15 ✺
31.01.26	Napoli - Brescia	4:23 ✺
12.12.25	Napoli - Olympic Roma	10:7 ✺
09.12.25	Roma Vis Nova - Napoli	8:10 ✺
06.12.25	Napoli - Ortigia	11:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWWW
- Trieste Pallanuoto
Italian A1 Water Polo
15.02.26	Trieste - Pro Recco	11:22 ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
12.02.26	Dinamo București - Trieste	15:16 ✺
Italian A1 Water Polo
31.01.26	De Akker Bologna - Trieste	14:13 ✺
12.12.25	Trieste - Rari Nantes Salerno	16:12 ✺
09.12.25	Brescia - Trieste	17:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
18.10.25	Trieste - Napoli	22:11
01.02.20	Trieste - Napoli	14:6
23.03.19	Napoli - Trieste	8:11
08.12.18	Trieste - Napoli	9:10
10.03.18	Napoli - Trieste	11:7
11.11.17	Trieste - Napoli	10:14
04.03.17	Napoli - Trieste	10:7

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