Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Division 1 - Second stage

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Netherlands		USA

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Netherlands
49%

Draw
12.6%

USA
38.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

12.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

11.5%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

USA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Netherlands than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 1 - 50%). USA will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

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Netherlands is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

USA's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands water polo
World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	Serbia - Netherlands	16:12 ✺
09.04.26	Croatia - Netherlands	12:8 ✺
08.04.26	Netherlands - Greece	11:14 ✺
07.04.26	Netherlands - Hungary	15:16 penalties ✺
06.04.26	Serbia - Netherlands	15:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USA water polo
World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	Croatia - USA	18:12 ✺
09.04.26	Serbia - USA	12:14 ✺
08.04.26	Spain - USA	15:8 ✺
07.04.26	USA - Italy	8:15 ✺
06.04.26	Croatia - USA	16:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.6 LWLLL

Netherlands - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide