Match Info

A1 - Round 19

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Olympic Roma		Ortigia

	1	X	2
	3.43	6.65	1.56
	3	6.5	1.65
	3.4	6.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.98)	6.52 ↑ (6.31)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympic Roma
28%

Draw
14.1%

Ortigia
57.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

14.6%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

14.6%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympic Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ortigia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympic Roma than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ortigia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Olympic Roma - Ortigia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:12

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Preview

Olympic Roma is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ortigia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ortigia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ortigia is the team to beat.

We predict that Ortigia will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olympic Roma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:32. (average 11.3:10.7).

Including home match between the teams, Olympic Roma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:12.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Olympic Roma	2	1	0	1	32:34	3
7	Ortigia	2	1	0	1	23:27	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Olympic Roma: 0.64% Ortigia: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympic Roma
Italian A1 Water Polo
03.03.26	Savona - Olympic Roma	23:11 ✺
27.02.26	Olympic Roma - Florentia	9:10 ✺
21.02.26	Quinto - Olympic Roma	12:8 ✺
14.02.26	Olympic Roma - Telimar Palermo	10:13 ✺
31.01.26	Posillipo - Olympic Roma	13:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CC Ortigia
Italian A1 Water Polo
07.03.26	Ortigia - Roma Vis Nova	5:15 ✺
28.02.26	Ortigia - De Akker Bologna	17:16 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Savona - Ortigia	18:8 ✺
14.02.26	Ortigia - Florentia	15:7 ✺
31.01.26	Quinto - Ortigia	13:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
01.11.25	Ortigia - Olympic Roma	11:13
22.03.25	Ortigia - Olympic Roma	9:7
08.12.24	Olympic Roma - Ortigia	14:12

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