Match Info

A1 - Round 12

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday


	Ortigia		Posillipo

	1	X	2
	3.35	7	1.52
	3	6	1.65
	3.57	6.7	1.5
	3.4	8	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	6.93 ↑ (6.9)	1.54 (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ortigia
27.4%

Draw
13.2%

Posillipo
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

13.2%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

14.4%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ortigia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Posillipo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ortigia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posillipo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Posillipo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ortigia - Posillipo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:13

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 3.

Ortigia is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Posillipo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Posillipo is the team to beat.

We predict that Posillipo will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 110:103. (average 8.5:7.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ortigia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:36. (average 7.8:7.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Ortigia
Italian A1 Water Polo
06.12.25	Napoli - Ortigia	11:10 ✺
29.11.25	Ortigia - Pro Recco	11:23
23.11.25	Trieste - Ortigia	20:15 ✺
15.11.25	Ortigia - Rari Nantes Salerno	11:13 ✺
08.11.25	Brescia - Ortigia	24:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CN Posillipo
Italian A1 Water Polo
07.12.25	Posillipo - Savona	6:15 ✺
28.11.25	Florentia - Posillipo	11:15 ✺
22.11.25	Posillipo - Quinto	10:5 ✺
15.11.25	Telimar Palermo - Posillipo	13:14 penalties ✺
Conference Cup Water Polo
08.11.25	Honvéd - Posillipo	16:18 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
18.01.25	Posillipo - Ortigia	10:10
25.11.23	Posillipo - Ortigia	10:10
22.04.23	Ortigia - Posillipo	10:5
21.01.23	Posillipo - Ortigia	7:9
23.10.21	Ortigia - Posillipo	9:3
08.02.20	Posillipo - Ortigia	6:10
23.05.19	Posillipo - Ortigia	10:7

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CN Posillipo
Italian A1 Water Polo
17.10.26	Posillipo - De Akker Bologna	✺

Ortigia - Posillipo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide