Match Info

Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	SIS Roma		Mataró

	1	X	2
	3	7.44	1.63
	3	6.3	1.6
	2.76	7.1	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.39)	6.95 ↓ (7.18)	1.64 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SIS Roma
31.2%

Draw
13.1%

Mataró
55.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

12.8%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

14.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SIS Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SIS Roma's form might have worsened.

Mataró has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mataró's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SIS Roma than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SIS Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mataró than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mataró, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

SIS Roma - Mataró Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:13

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Preview

First leg result: 9-13.

Recent performances by Roma have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mataró is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Roma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mataró might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Roma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 7.5:11).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SIS Roma
Italian A1 Water Polo Women
18.04.26	SIS Roma - Padova	15:6 ✺
Champions League Water Polo Women
11.04.26	Mataró - SIS Roma	13:9 ✺
Italian A1 Water Polo Women
04.04.26	Rapallo - SIS Roma	14:18 ✺
01.04.26	Citta di Cosenza - SIS Roma	6:17 ✺
Champions League Water Polo Women
21.03.26	SIS Roma - Sant Andreu	15:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL
- CN Mataró Women
Spanish Division de Honor Water Polo Women
13.05.26	Sant Feliu - Mataró	9:20
25.04.26	Sant Andreu - Mataró	12:11 ✺
14.04.26	Catalunya - Mataró	11:18 ✺
Champions League Water Polo Women
11.04.26	Mataró - SIS Roma	13:9 ✺
21.03.26	Mataró - Sabadell	14:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Water Polo Women
11.04.26	Mataró - SIS Roma	13:9
17.04.21	Mataró - SIS Roma	9:6

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SIS Roma
Italian A1 Water Polo Women
17.10.26	SIS Roma - Rapallo	✺

SIS Roma - Mataró: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide