Match Info

EUROPE: Euro Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday


	Sabadell		Jug Dubrovnik

	1	X	2
	3	7	1.57
	2.55	7.5	1.75
	3.01	7.7	1.6
	2.58	6.7	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (1.72)	7.23 ↑ (6.3)	1.68 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
32.9%

Draw
12.7%

Jug Dubrovnik
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.5%

14.6%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

17.1%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabadell's form might have worsened.

Jug Dubrovnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jug Dubrovnik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabadell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jug Dubrovnik than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jug Dubrovnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Sabadell - Jug Dubrovnik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sabadell will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Jug will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jug: 71.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 10:12

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Jug could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sabadell have a series of home games.

Recently Jug have a series of guest games.

Jug will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Sabadell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CN Sabadell
Spanish Division de Honor Water Polo
30.04.24	Sabadell - Atlètic-Barceloneta	8:16 ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
27.04.24	Sabadell - Steaua București	7:6 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Water Polo
13.04.24	Sabadell - Terrassa	6:5 ✺
12.04.24	Sabadell - Mediterrani	18:9 ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
06.04.24	Steaua București - Sabadell	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW
- VK Jug Dubrovnik
Croatian Water Polo Prva Liga
10.05.24	Jadran Split - Jug Dubrovnik	14:10 ✺
Euro Cup Water Polo
27.04.24	Crvena Zvezda - Jug Dubrovnik	10:14 ✺
Croatian Water Polo Prva Liga
23.04.24	Primorje - Jug Dubrovnik	11:13 ✺
16.04.24	Jug Dubrovnik - Primorje	15:9 ✺
Regional League Water Polo
12.04.24	Crvena Zvezda - Jug Dubrovnik	14:15 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Water Polo
21.03.23	Sabadell - Jug Dubrovnik	15:12
11.01.23	Jug Dubrovnik - Sabadell	14:10

Sabadell - Jug Dubrovnik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide