Match Info

Asian Games - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Thailand		Hong Kong

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Thailand
62.4%

Draw
12.3%

Hong Kong
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

12.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thailand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thailand's performance.

Hong Kong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hong Kong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:11

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A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Thailand holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thailand water polo
Southeast Asian Games Water Polo
18.12.25	Thailand - Malaysia	21:8
17.12.25	Thailand - Indonesia	7:10 ✺
16.12.25	Philippines - Thailand	6:28
15.12.25	Thailand - Singapore	13:14 ✺
Asian Games Water Polo
05.10.23	Thailand - Japan	2:23
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLWLL
- Hong Kong water polo
World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	South Africa - Hong Kong	23:22 ✺
10.04.26	Poland - Hong Kong	20:11 ✺
09.04.26	Germany - Hong Kong	34:5
08.04.26	Ukraine - Hong Kong	24:7
Asian Games Water Polo
05.10.23	China - Hong Kong	23:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Thailand - Hong Kong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide