Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Paris La Défense Arena (Nanterre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 2
Greece	ERT 1
Hungary	Eurosport 2, M4 Sport
Poland	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 2


	USA		Hungary

	1	X	2
	2.8	6.5	1.75
	2.8	6.2	1.75	Watch
	2.5	6.5	1.83
	2.72	6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.64)	6.3 ↓ (6.4)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Water polo with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

USA
34%

Draw
14.6%

Hungary
51.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

14.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

20.5%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hungary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungary than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hungary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

USA - Hungary Predictions

Users Predictions: Hungary will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:11

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches USA won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches USA won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 144-165.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo
09.08.24	Serbia - USA	10:6 ✺
07.08.24	USA - Australia	11:10 penalties ✺
05.08.24	Croatia - USA	11:14 ✺
03.08.24	Montenegro - USA	7:12 ✺
01.08.24	Greece - USA	13:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL
- Hungary water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo
09.08.24	Hungary - Croatia	8:9 ✺
07.08.24	Italy - Hungary	10:12 penalties ✺
05.08.24	Hungary - Serbia	17:13 ✺
03.08.24	Australia - Hungary	9:8 ✺
01.08.24	Hungary - Japan	17:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Water Polo
25.07.23	Hungary - USA	13:12
World Cup Water Polo
02.07.23	Hungary - USA	18:16 penalties
13.03.23	USA - Hungary	15:9
World Championship Water Polo
01.07.22	Hungary - USA	15:16 penalties
Olympic Games - Water polo
31.07.21	USA - Hungary	8:11
Friendly International Water Polo
03.01.20	USA - Hungary	10:15
World Cup Water Polo
14.09.18	Hungary - USA	10:8

USA - Hungary: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide